Imperial Oil Q4 Net Income Falls 60%, Boosts Dividend 20%
In Q4 2025, Imperial Oil reported net income of C$492 million (US GAAP) or C$1.00 per share, down from C$1.225 billion or C$2.37 per share a year earlier, including C$320 million of after-tax identified charges. The company declared a 20% higher quarterly dividend of US$0.87 per share.
1. Q4 2025 Earnings and Revenue Miss
Imperial Oil reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $1.05, falling short of the analyst consensus of $1.36 and down from $1.69 in the year-ago period. Revenue for the quarter totaled $6.02 billion, missing forecasts near $8.84 billion and reflecting the impact of weaker crude realizations and lower sales volumes. Despite the miss, the company’s price-to-sales ratio remains at 1.12, indicating that investors continue to place a premium on its sales base even as upstream margins contract.
2. Production, Cash Flow and Capital Deployment
In the period, upstream production averaged 444,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, with Kearl output of 274,000 barrels (Imperial’s share 194,000) constrained by wet early-season conditions. Cold Lake production held at 153,000 barrels per day, including first oil from the new Leming SAGD project. Operating cash flow rose to $1.918 billion, up from $1.798 billion in Q3, while cash flow excluding working capital items was $1.260 billion. Capital and exploration spending climbed to $651 million, an increase of $228 million year over year, funding expansion at Cold Lake and maintenance turnarounds.
3. Shareholder Returns and Balance Sheet Strength
During Q4, Imperial returned $2.072 billion to shareholders—$361 million in dividends and $1.711 billion through accelerated share repurchases. The board approved a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.87 per share, payable April 1, with a record date of March 5. On the balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio stands at a conservative 0.18 and the current ratio at 1.47, underscoring ample liquidity to support ongoing capital programs and shareholder distributions.