Invesco DB Oil Fund Rises 50% YTD as WTI Climbs to $90.90

DBODBO

Invesco DB Oil Fund has surged 50% year-to-date, outpacing many broad benchmarks as WTI Crude rose from $66 to $90.90 per barrel since February 20. U.S. average gasoline prices jumped 16% last week to $3.45 per gallon, with California topping $5.15 per gallon.

1. Invesco DB Oil Fund Year-to-Date Performance

Invesco DB Oil Fund has gained 50% year-to-date, slightly trailing ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil’s 74% surge but outperforming many broad equity benchmarks. The oil fund’s futures structure benefits directly from rapid crude price advances.

2. Impact of WTI Crude Surge

West Texas Intermediate crude prices climbed from $66 per barrel on February 20 to $90.90 today, driving substantial mark-to-market gains for oil-linked ETFs. This sharp move reflects tightening supply concerns amid Middle East tensions.

3. National Gas Price Jump

U.S. average gasoline prices increased by 16% in the past week to $3.45 per gallon, marking one of the largest weekly spikes on record. The swift pass-through of crude costs to pump prices highlights demand resilience.

4. Regional Variations and Market Forecasts

Gas prices range from $5.16 per gallon in California to $2.91 in Kansas, underscoring regional supply and tax differences. Prediction markets assign a 63% chance of prices exceeding $4.50 by the end of March, though liquidity remains low.

Sources

F