Forecasts Show Jack in the Box Q1 Revenue Declining 21.6% to $368M
Jack in the Box reported Q4 revenues of $326.2 million, beating forecasts by 2.5% but down 6.6% year-over-year, while missing full-year EBITDA guidance and EPS estimates. Analysts now project Q1 revenues to decline 21.6% to $368 million with adjusted EPS of $1.11, after shares gained 2.3% last month.
1. Q4 Results Recap
Jack in the Box posted Q4 revenues of $326.2 million, down 6.6% year-over-year but 2.5% above analyst expectations. The quarter included a significant miss on full-year EBITDA guidance and an EPS shortfall that weighed on investor sentiment.
2. Q1 Outlook
Analysts forecast Q1 revenues of $368 million, marking a 21.6% decline from the prior year, with adjusted EPS expected at $1.11. Estimate revisions have been minimal over the past 30 days, reflecting confidence in the current forecast trajectory.
3. Peer Comparisons and Market Reaction
Competing chains saw mixed results, with Yum China reporting 8.8% revenue growth and Wendy’s posting a 5.5% decline, both beating expectations. Despite a 5.7% average sector share decline last month, Jack in the Box shares rose 2.3%, indicating relative resilience ahead of earnings.