Jefferies Sees Buy Opportunity as Uber Shares Drop 17% to Lows

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Jefferies maintained a Buy rating on Uber after shares slid roughly 17% since late September, pushing its valuation near last year's lows. Analysts cite limited near-term competitive impact from autonomous vehicles, presenting the recent pullback as an attractive entry point.

1. Earnings Growth and Price Momentum Highlighted by Zacks

Uber Technologies delivered fourth-quarter revenue growth of 30% year-over-year, driven by a 28% increase in mobility bookings and a 35% jump in delivery orders. Zacks Premium analysts have added Uber to their Focus List, noting that the company’s earnings per share estimate for the next four quarters has risen by 12% since October. With consensus revenue projections of $30 billion for the fiscal year, Zacks points to Uber’s expanding adjusted EBITDA margin, up to 15% from 10% a year ago, as evidence of improving profitability and cash flow generation that could support further share appreciation.

2. Global Maps Renewal with TomTom Bolsters Routing Efficiency

Uber renewed its multi-year global mapping agreement with TomTom, extending coverage to over 10,000 cities and rural areas across 50 countries. The upgraded map data and real-time traffic feeds are expected to reduce average trip times by 8% and fuel consumption per ride by 5%. Operations teams project that improved routing precision will lower driver downtime by 15%, while advanced location services will support the rollout of new safety features in its rideshare app, potentially enhancing customer retention rates and long-term unit economics.

3. Jefferies ‘Buy’ Rating Follows Pullback Opportunity

Following a 17% share price decline since late September, Jefferies analysts reiterated their Buy rating on Uber, citing limited competitive impact from autonomous vehicle entrants and strong core margin expansion. The team forecasts adjusted free cash flow of $3.5 billion in 2026, up from $2.8 billion in 2025, and expects operating leverage to push adjusted EBITDA margins toward 18% by year-end. Analysts see the recent pullback as a compelling entry point, noting that Uber’s 75% market share in U.S. ridesharing and ongoing delivery growth support a robust mid-term outlook.

4. CES Robotaxi Reveal Signals Long-Term Upside

At CES 2026, Uber joined forces with Lucid and Nuro to unveil a purpose-built robotaxi platform, featuring LiDAR-enabled autonomous hardware, modular battery packs, and an interior optimized for shared mobility. Prototype testing has begun in Phoenix and San Francisco, with plans to commence limited commercial service by Q4. Partnerships target a cost per self-driving mile of $0.80, down from an estimated $1.20 in 2025 pilot programs. Uber’s transport engineering division forecasts that full deployment of the robotaxi fleet could contribute up to $4 billion in annual revenue by 2028, enhancing the company’s long-term growth trajectory.

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