Kraft Heinz Sees 27.4% EPS Drop Forecast and 5.5% Monthly Share Decline

KHCKHC

Morgan Stanley's Megan Clapp set a $24 price target for Kraft Heinz on January 16, 2026, after shares underperformed by dropping 5.5% over the past month versus a 2.96% sector decline. The Zacks consensus forecasts a 27.38% EPS drop to $0.61 and a 2.8% net sales decline to $6.39 billion.

1. Analyst Sets Moderate Upside for KHC

On January 16, 2026, Morgan Stanley’s Megan Clapp reaffirmed a price target of $24 for Kraft Heinz Company, reflecting confidence in the company’s ability to stabilize revenue despite recent headwinds. This target implies upside of approximately 2.4% from recent trading levels and factors in expected margin improvements driven by ongoing cost‐savings initiatives. Clapp noted that successful integration of productivity programs could contribute an incremental $300 million to operating profit by fiscal year end.

2. Shares Trail Sector Performance Over One Month

Over the past 30 trading days, KHC’s shares have declined by 5.5%, underperforming the broader Consumer Staples sector’s 2.96% loss and the S&P 500’s 0.86% gain during the same period. Volume data indicates average daily turnover of 11.7 million shares, suggesting sustained investor interest despite the pullback. Analysts point to tougher commodity cost comparisons and softer retail demand as primary catalysts for the recent weakness.

3. Earnings Preview Highlights EPS and Revenue Pressures

The upcoming quarterly report is projected to deliver earnings per share of $0.61, representing a 27.4% year‐over‐year decline, according to consensus estimates. Net sales are forecast at $6.39 billion, down 2.8% from the prior year, as flat pricing and volume pressures offset benefits from new product launches. Management’s guidance is expected to emphasize disciplined working capital management to protect free cash flow, which analysts currently estimate at $2.1 billion for the full fiscal year.

Sources

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