McCormick Q4 Sales Climb 3% and EPS Rises to $0.86; Dividend Hiked 7%

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McCormick’s Q4 net sales increased 3% year-over-year, with organic sales up 2% driven by volume and pricing, and adjusted earnings per share rose to $0.86 from $0.80. The Board approved a 7% dividend increase and management projects gross margin recovery, revenue momentum, and benefits from the McCormick de Mexico acquisition.

1. Strategic Upgrade Highlights Attractive Valuation

Analysts at Bernstein upgraded McCormick to a Buy, citing its proximity to a 52-week low and trading below its five-year average P/E multiple of 23x. The firm set a price target of $85, implying upside of almost 39%. At the same time, McCormick’s EV/EBITDA multiple stands near 15.4x, below its historical range of 16–18x, creating an appealing risk-reward setup for long-term investors.

2. Q4 Performance Shows Revenue Beat but Margin Pressure Persists

In fiscal Q4, McCormick delivered net revenue of $1.85 billion, up 2.9% year-over-year, driven by a 4.0% increase in the Consumer segment to $1.13 billion. Organic growth comprised 2% pricing gains and 1% volume/mix improvement. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.86, narrowly missing the consensus of $0.87. Gross profit margin contracted by 130 basis points to 38.9%, reflecting elevated commodity costs and tariffs, partially offset by cost savings from the Comprehensive Continuous Improvement program.

3. Management Outlines Path to Margin Recovery and Growth

For fiscal 2026, McCormick projects sequential gross margin expansion through disciplined pricing, procurement efficiencies and ongoing efficiency initiatives. Management expects mid-single-digit operating margin improvement supported by continued brand investments, productivity gains and the recently completed acquisition of a controlling interest in McCormick de Mexico. The company also highlighted sustained volume growth from health-conscious, at-home cooking trends and plans to leverage its global distribution footprint to capture further market share.

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