Melius Downgrades Uber to Sell, Sets $73 Target Citing AV Competition

UBERUBER

Melius downgraded Uber Technologies from Hold to Sell and assigned a $73 price target, noting shares fell over 1% intraday following the move. The firm warned that intensifying autonomous vehicle competition from players like Waymo and Tesla could erode Uber’s returns beyond current valuations.

1. Uber Renews Mapping Partnership with TomTom

On January 6, 2026, Uber Technologies and TomTom extended their strategic collaboration to integrate TomTom’s high-precision maps, Maps APIs and live traffic services across Uber’s global ride-hailing and delivery platforms. The move is designed to sharpen routing accuracy in complex venues such as airports and stadiums, improve fare calculation precision and reduce pick-up and drop-off uncertainty for millions of daily trips. TomTom’s platform ingests billions of data points from thousands of sources, while Uber’s real-world trip data feeds back into TomTom’s update pipeline, creating a continuous improvement cycle. Uber Vice President of Product Amit Fulay emphasized that access to fresher map data will enhance operational efficiency and driver satisfaction, while TomTom Chief Revenue Officer Mike Schoofs highlighted the partnership’s role in solidifying TomTom’s position as a leader in location technology.

2. Uber Unveils Production-Intent Robotaxi with Lucid and Nuro

At CES 2026, Uber revealed the production-intent version of its autonomous robotaxi, developed in collaboration with Lucid Motors and Nuro. This vehicle, based on the Lucid Gravity SUV, incorporates a roof-mounted sensor “halo” with high-resolution cameras, solid-state lidar and radar arrays all powered by Nvidia’s Drive AGX Thor compute. Uber’s $300 million equity investment in Lucid and commitment to purchase 20,000 EVs underline the scale of the partnership. Initial testing has begun on public roads around the San Francisco Bay Area, with a commercial launch planned for later in 2026. Integration of autonomous systems during factory assembly at Lucid’s Casa Grande facility is expected to reduce retrofit costs compared with competitors, and Uber intends to deploy both two-row and three-row Gravity configurations to optimize passenger capacity and luggage space.

3. Melius Downgrades Uber on Rising Autonomous Competition Risk

Research firm Melius downgraded Uber from Hold to Sell, assigning a $73 price target following a more than 1% intraday share decline on the announcement. While acknowledging Uber’s leading position in ride-sharing and delivery services, analysts warned that intensifying competition from autonomous vehicle operators could erode returns over the next several years. Melius noted Uber’s strategy of aggregating demand for emerging self-driving fleets through equity stakes and partnerships, but argued that as autonomous technologies scale, Uber may face margin pressure whether it competes directly or relies on third-party providers. The report cautioned that growth projections baked into current valuations may not fully account for potential market share shifts if established AV players expand standalone deployments in key U.S. metros.

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