Meta Guides $70B AI CapEx and Pauses Teen AI Characters
Meta guided 2025 capex to $70–72 billion and said 2026 spending will rise for AI infrastructure, while analysts target $820 (24.5% upside). Meta paused AI character chats for teens and cut 1,000 Reality Labs jobs (10%) to shift focus from VR to AI and smart glasses.
1. Wall Street Analyst Consensus and Price Targets
Wall Street analysts maintain a bullish stance on Meta Platforms, with a consensus ‘Strong Buy’ rating derived from 37 Buy recommendations, 6 Holds and just 1 Sell among 44 analysts tracked by TipRanks. The average 12-month price target stands at $820.21, implying upside of roughly 24.5% from current levels. Individual forecasts range from a low of $655.15 to a high of $1,117, reflecting divergent views on Meta’s AI investments and Reality Labs spending. Recent target adjustments include Wells Fargo trimming its target to $754 and Stifel to $785, both citing elevated AI-related operating and capital expenditures, while Jefferies reiterated a $910 price objective and Buy rating, highlighting underappreciated AI-driven ad monetization and new revenue streams from WhatsApp and Threads.
2. Q3 Revenue Growth and AI Infrastructure Spending
In the third quarter, Meta reported revenue of $51.24 billion, up 26% year-over-year, driven by a 14% gain in ad impressions and a 10% rise in average ad price across Facebook, Instagram, Messenger and WhatsApp. Daily active users reached 3.54 billion, an 8% increase. Operating income rose 18% to $20.5 billion, yielding a 40% operating margin, down from 43% a year earlier as costs grew 32%. Capital expenditures hit $19.4 billion in Q3, and management now expects 2026 capex to be “notably larger” than the $70–72 billion spent in 2025, reflecting accelerated build-out of AI data-center capacity. Investors will closely watch the January earnings call for updated 2026 guidance on spending and margin outlook.
3. Regulatory and Safety Measures for AI Features
Meta has globally suspended teen access to its AI characters across all apps while it develops an age-appropriate version with built-in parental controls, responding to concerns over child safety and mental health just ahead of multiple trials alleging harms to minors. This move follows earlier initiatives—including parental controls for AI chats and topic filters for violence or graphic content—and parallels actions by other AI chatbot providers. In Europe, UK regulator Ofcom has opened an investigation into Meta’s responsiveness to data requests on WhatsApp, adding to regulatory uncertainty. Investors should consider the potential for further compliance costs, feature-engagement impacts and reputational risk as Meta navigates tightening oversight of AI interactions involving under-18 users.