Mizuho Lowers Qualcomm Target to $160 as Commerzbank, Tepper Boost Stakes

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Mizuho cut Qualcomm’s price target from $175 to $160 and Commerzbank raised its stake by 1.7% to 472,843 shares worth $78.7 million. David Tepper’s Appaloosa bought QCOM, citing a forward P/E of 13, AI200/AI250 chips launching in 2026–27 and 36% automotive segment growth in 2025.

1. Qualcomm’s RSI Reaches Bullish Threshold

Qualcomm’s relative strength index climbed above 70 for the first time since mid-2023, signaling an overbought condition that historically preceded a strong rally. The last instance when QCOM’s RSI hit this level, the stock advanced roughly 70% over the subsequent six months. Over the past two weeks, shares have retraced about 15% from their early-year peak, trading in the mid-150 range despite a solid start to 2026. Investors monitoring momentum indicators may view the current RSI reading as a contrarian buy signal given the company’s underlying fundamentals and long-term growth drivers.

2. Analyst Target Revision and Institutional Accumulation

On January 25, 2026, Mizuho Securities analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered his 12-month price target from 175 to 160, citing a more cautious near-term outlook for semiconductor demand. Despite the downward adjustment, the target remains slightly above current trading levels, reflecting continued confidence in Qualcomm’s technology roadmap. Institutional activity underscores that optimism: Commerzbank Aktiengesellschaft FI boosted its stake by 1.7%, now holding 472,843 shares worth approximately 78.7 million and representing 1.6% of its total portfolio as the firm’s 20th largest position. First Citizens Bank and Trust Co. also increased its Qualcomm position by 3.9% in the third quarter, signaling broad support from major asset managers.

3. Tepper’s Contrarian Bet on Qualcomm’s AI Opportunity

Billionaire David Tepper’s Appaloosa Management added Qualcomm to its equity lineup following profit-taking in other chipmakers. Tepper highlighted Qualcomm’s undervaluation relative to its end-market potential, noting that the company has generated a staggering 31,000% return since its IPO yet has traded sideways over the past two years. Qualcomm’s upcoming AI200 and AI250 inference chips, set for release in 2026 and 2027, target on-device and rack-level applications, while its automotive segment delivered 36% revenue growth in 2025. Trading at a forward P/E of 13 and with a market capitalization near 167 billion, Qualcomm offers a value-oriented entry into the proliferation of AI across smartphones, data centers and connected vehicles.

Sources

MFF