Mondelez Gains Moderate Buy Consensus, $66 Average Price Target

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Analysts covering Mondelez International hold a consensus Moderate Buy rating based on 22 firm surveys, with one sell, seven holds and fourteen buy recommendations yielding a $66.00 average 12-month price objective. The company reported a $0.50 quarterly dividend (3.5% yield) and reaffirmed FY2025 EPS guidance at 2.86.

1. Quarterly Results and 2025 Guidance

In its third quarter, Mondelez International reported revenue of $9.74 billion, up 5.9% year-over-year, narrowly missing consensus estimates of $9.76 billion. Earnings per share of $0.73 fell $0.01 short of the $0.74 analyst projection. The company posted a net margin of 9.38% and a return on equity of 14.16%. For fiscal 2025, Mondelez set EPS guidance at 2.860, aligning with the low end of analyst forecasts and underscoring management’s caution on margin recovery timelines.

2. Dividend Policy and Shareholder Yield

Mondelez declared a quarterly dividend of $0.50 per share, paid January 14 to holders of record as of December 31, representing an annualized payout of $2.00 and a yield of 3.5%. The company’s dividend payout ratio stands at 74.91%, reflecting a commitment to return cash while operating with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.65 and maintaining a current ratio of 0.61 despite ongoing margin pressures.

3. Consensus Ratings and Price Targets

Among 22 firms covering Mondelez, 14 maintain buy ratings, seven rate the stock as hold and one has issued a sell recommendation, yielding a consensus designation of “Moderate Buy.” The average 12-month price objective across these analysts is $66.00. Since October, Sanford C. Bernstein trimmed its target from $85.00 to $84.00 with an outperform rating, DZ Bank upgraded to buy, Berenberg Bank moved from buy to hold with a $70.00 target and UBS reduced its neutral target to $60.00.

4. Institutional Ownership and Recent Positioning

Institutional investors control 78.32% of Mondelez shares. In the third quarter, Capital International Investors increased its stake by 9.7%, acquiring 6.96 million additional shares to hold 78.56 million shares valued at $4.91 billion. JPMorgan Chase boosted holdings by 17.1% to 69.59 million shares ($4.35 billion), State Street added 1.5% to reach 60.31 million shares ($3.80 billion), while Geode Capital Management and Norges Bank also increased or initiated positions totaling roughly $3.18 billion combined.

Sources

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