Monster Beverage Q4 Revenue Expected to Grow 12.5%, Following $2.20B Q3 Beat

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Monster Beverage will report Q4 earnings after the bell with revenue projected to rise 12.5% year-on-year versus 4.7% last year, following a Q3 beat of $2.20 billion (+16.8% yoy). Analysts have held estimates despite revenue misses, while Vita Coco and Boston Beer posted flat and –4.1% Q4 sales.

1. Q4 Earnings Forecast

Monster Beverage will report Q4 earnings Thursday after the bell with revenue projected to rise 12.5% year-over-year, up from a 4.7% gain in Q4 last year. The company delivered $2.20 billion in revenue (+16.8% yoy) and beat EBITDA estimates in its prior quarter.

2. Analyst Consensus and Estimate Revisions

Analysts have largely maintained their Q4 revenue and EPS estimates over the past month, indicating confidence in the forecast despite multiple revenue misses over the past two years. Consensus projections suggest stable performance heading into the announcement.

3. Peer Comparison

Among beverages peers, Vita Coco posted flat year-on-year Q4 revenue with a 6.2% beat of consensus, while Boston Beer reported a 4.1% revenue decline in line with expectations. Vita Coco shares fell 8.4% on the result, underscoring varied category dynamics.

4. Share Performance and Price Targets

Investor sentiment in the beverages, alcohol and tobacco segment has lifted average share prices by 3.7% over the last month. Monster shares outperformed with a 5.5% gain, trading below an average analyst price target of $81.38 versus the current $85.53 share price.

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