Morgan Stanley Q3 EPS Tops Estimates at $2.80, Revenue Up 18.5%

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Morgan Stanley reported Q3 EPS of $2.80, beating estimates by $0.73 as revenue rose 18.5% to $17.98 billion versus $16.42 billion consensus. The firm declared a $1.00 quarterly dividend (annualized $4.00, 2.2% yield) and CEO Edward Pick sold 100,000 shares for $16.43 million.

1. Significant Stake Increase by Diversified Trust Co

Diversified Trust Co lifted its holding in Morgan Stanley by 63.9% during the third quarter, boosting its position to 48,243 shares after acquiring an additional 18,800 shares. As of the latest SEC filing, the firm’s stake was valued at $7.67 million. This uptick underscores growing confidence from a key institutional investor in Morgan Stanley’s wealth management and trading divisions.

2. Third Quarter Earnings Deliver Strong Upside

In the quarter ended September 30, Morgan Stanley reported adjusted earnings per share of $2.80, exceeding consensus estimates by $0.73. Revenue rose 18.5% year-over-year to $17.98 billion, driven by robust trading revenues and net interest income growth. Return on equity reached 16.4%, while net margin held at 13.85%, reflecting disciplined expense management and favorable market conditions.

3. Quarterly Dividend and Capital Return

Morgan Stanley declared a quarterly dividend of $1.00 per share, payable mid-November to holders of record on October 31. The annualized payout of $4.00 represents a dividend yield of approximately 2.2% and a payout ratio of 41.0%. The firm continues to target a capital return ratio above 50%, with repurchases resuming after regulatory approval for higher buyback activity.

4. Upgrades Bolster Moderate Buy Consensus

Research firms have recently raised their outlook on Morgan Stanley, with three analysts assigning a Strong Buy rating and eight issuing a Buy rating. Price targets have been lifted across the board, including a move from $184 to $202 by Keefe, Bruyette & Woods and a shift to Outperform by Wolfe Research with a $198 target. Based on MarketBeat data, the consensus rating stands at Moderate Buy, reflecting optimism about further earnings leverage and increased capital return capability.

Sources

DZ