Equifax sees 34.8% upside to $244 after Q4 revenue jumps 9.2%
Morgan Stanley set a $244 price target for Equifax, implying 34.8% upside, after Q4 2025 revenues rose 9.2% to $1.6 billion and EPS beat at $2.09. Margin pressures led to a cautious Q1 outlook as Equifax expanded its Gen Digital partnership to embed AI-powered data services.
1. Optimistic Analyst Outlook Supported by Strong Q4 Results
On February 4, 2026, Morgan Stanley analyst Toni Kaplan increased her price target for Equifax to $244, implying upside of roughly 34.8% from current levels. This bullish stance follows the company’s fourth-quarter 2025 earnings per share of $2.09, which topped consensus by 2.5%, and revenue of $1.6 billion, exceeding estimates by 1.3% and rising 9.2% year-over-year. Investors have taken note of the outperformance, especially given the credit reporting industry’s overall challenges during the period.
2. Robust Segment Growth Offset by Margin Pressures and Cautious Guidance
Equifax’s growth was driven by its Workforce Solutions unit, which delivered 9% revenue growth, and its USIS segment, which grew by 12% over the prior year. International operations also contributed with a 7% increase in the quarter. Despite these gains, management reported margin compression and issued a first-quarter EPS outlook below street forecasts, citing slower business in certain markets and one-time integration costs associated with recent technology investments.
3. Share Performance, Market Capitalization and Strategic Partnership
Over the past 12 months, Equifax shares have declined 34.7%, underperforming the broader market’s 18.5% gain but outperforming peer credit agencies whose average drop was 41.6%. The company’s market capitalization stands at approximately $22.3 billion, with average daily trading volume near 4.8 million shares. In parallel with financial results, Equifax announced an expanded partnership with Gen Digital to integrate its differentiated data into Gen’s AI-driven offerings and to leverage Gen’s Engine platform for myEquifax customers, enhancing consumer personalization and reinforcing Equifax’s analytics footprint.