Netflix Shares Fall 2.1% as New Street Research Cuts Target to $96
Shares of Netflix declined 2.1% to as low as $82.98 after New Street Research cut its price target from $100 to $96 and maintained a neutral rating. Volume jumped 24% to 68.7 million, exceeding the 55.6 million average, while analysts maintain a Buy consensus and a $119.36 price target.
1. Analyst Downgrade Triggers Elevated Trading Activity
New Street Research lowered its rating on Netflix from Neutral-High to Neutral-Low, prompting a 2.1% intraday decline in share value and driving trading volume to approximately 68.7 million shares, up 24% versus the three-month average. This downgrade follows a series of mixed analyst moves, including Susquehanna’s upgrade to Positive and Citic Securities’ hold reiteration, contributing to a consensus Moderate Buy stance among 51 surveyed analysts and an average price target north of current levels.
2. Fourth-Quarter Earnings Beat Expectations with Robust Subscriber and Revenue Growth
In its latest quarterly report, Netflix delivered earnings per share of $0.56, surpassing consensus by $0.01, on revenue of $12.05 billion—an increase of 17.6% year-over-year. Paid memberships topped 325 million globally, with viewers streaming 96 billion hours in H2 2025, representing a 2% year-over-year increase. Operating margin expanded to 25%, while net margin reached 24.3%, and guidance for Q1 2026 projects EPS of $0.76, reinforcing expectations for mid-teens percentage revenue gains and continued margin expansion.
3. All-Cash Warner Bros. Bid Amplifies Capital Allocation Debate
Netflix amended its offer for Warner Bros. to an all-cash proposal valuing the studio assets at approximately $72 billion in equity value, financed in part by $42.2 billion in bridge loans and a temporary pause of share repurchases. While management highlights strategic synergies and pro-consumer benefits, investors are weighing the debt burden and deferred buybacks against plans to increase programming spend by 10% in 2026—raising questions about whether the acquisition presents greater long-term value than reinvesting equivalent capital into original content.