Nike Faces Underperform Rating, $35 Target After China Profit Warning

NKENKE

BNP Paribas maintained an Underperform rating on Nike with a $35 target, citing Pou Sheng’s profit warning and persistent China market headwinds, and flagged Nike’s April 2 Q3 report timing as possible major restructuring. Nike declared a $0.41 dividend payable April 1 to shareholders of record March 2.

1. BNP Paribas Underperform Rating

BNP Paribas reiterated an Underperform rating on Nike, assigning a $35 share target based on three-year concerns over its China operations. The firm pointed to slower sales trends and inventory pressures as key factors driving its bearish outlook.

2. China Market Profit Warning

Pou Sheng, one of China’s two major sporting goods retailers, issued a profit warning that BNP Paribas highlighted as evidence of ongoing headwinds in the region. Analysts contrasted this with expectations for Adidas to report stronger full-year trends in China next week.

3. Q3 Reporting Delay and Restructuring Speculation

Nike’s shift of its third-quarter results release to April 2, rather than the usual third Thursday of March, has fueled speculation of a major restructuring program aimed at cutting costs and refocusing product lines. Investors view the timing as a potential signal of aggressive margin-recovery efforts.

4. Dividend Declaration Details

Nike declared a $0.41 per share dividend, payable April 1 to shareholders of record March 2, applicable to both Class A and B common stock. The announcement underscores Nike’s commitment to its cash return policy despite persistent operational challenges.

Sources

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