Nokia Unveils New Three-Segment Structure with Network Infrastructure Sales Up 22%

NOKNOK

Nokia reorganized into three segments on Jan. 1 2026, splitting into Network Infrastructure, Mobile Infrastructure, and Portfolio Businesses. Recast 2025 net sales: Network Infrastructure €7.65 billion (+22%), Mobile Infrastructure €11.41 billion (–6%), Portfolio Businesses €845 million.

1. Nvidia Stake and AI-RAN Collaboration Strengthen AI Opportunity

In a strategic vote of confidence, Nvidia acquired a 5% equity stake in Nokia, underscoring accelerated co-development of AI-native radio access network solutions. The collaboration, announced in late January, targets integration of Nvidia’s GPU-accelerated computing with Nokia’s AirScale RAN portfolio. Executives project that AI-RAN deployments could represent up to €2.5 billion in annual revenue by 2028, as hyperscale cloud and telecom operators seek to optimize capacity and energy efficiency.

2. Q4 FY25 Results Beat Revenue Expectations but EPS Slightly Trails

Nokia reported fourth-quarter net sales of €6.1 billion, a 2% year-on-year increase that topped the analyst consensus of €6.95 billion (adjusted for currency and portfolio effects). Optical Networks surged 17% Y/Y to €981 million, while Network Infrastructure grew 7% Y/Y overall. Comparable gross margin expanded 90 basis points to 48.1%, though comparable EPS converted to dollars came in at $0.19 versus the $0.17 estimate. Management cited higher R&D investments in Network Infrastructure for a 90 basis point contraction in operating margin to 17.3%.

3. Robust Balance Sheet and Conservative Outlook Highlight Financial Discipline

At quarter end, Nokia held €3.4 billion in net cash and generated €200 million of free cash flow despite elevated CAPEX in advanced connectivity projects. The board approved a €0.03 per share dividend for February payment. Looking ahead to FY26, Nokia forecasts free cash flow of approximately €1.46 billion at the midpoint, even as CAPEX rises by 15% to support 6G and defense program launches. Network Infrastructure net sales are targeted to grow at the 6%–8% long-term CAGR, with combined IP and Optical Networks set to expand 10%–12%, reinforcing the case for continued undervaluation relative to peers.

Sources

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