Northland Cuts Vitesse Energy Price Target to $19 After Q4 Miss and Announces $35M Acquisition

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Northland reduced its price target on Vitesse Energy to $19 from $20 after Q4 results fell below expectations and 2026 guidance cut CapEx to boost dividend coverage. The company recorded adjusted EBITDA of $179.3M, 17,444 Boe/d production (+34%) and agreed to a $35M Powder River Basin asset acquisition.

1. Price Target Reduction

Northland lowered its price target on Vitesse Energy to $19 from $20 and maintained a Market Perform rating after the company’s fiscal Q4 outcomes failed to meet expectations. The adjustment reflects concerns over weaker-than-anticipated results and a revised 2026 CapEx plan aimed at strengthening dividend coverage.

2. Fiscal Results Overview

Vitesse reported net income of $25.3 million, adjusted net income of $30.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $179.3 million for fiscal year 2025, generating total revenue of $291.1 million including realized hedges. Oil comprised 89% of total oil and gas revenue.

3. Production Growth Metrics

Average production reached 17,444 Boe per day, marking a 34% increase from full year 2024, with oil accounting for 65% of output. This robust sequential growth highlights the effectiveness of operations in the Bakken and Three Forks formations.

4. Powder River Basin Acquisition

On March 2 the company signed a definitive agreement to acquire non-operated assets in Wyoming’s Powder River Basin for $35 million in common stock, effective January 1, 2026. The deal expands Vitesse’s non-operated working and royalty interests to bolster future production and cash flow.

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