Novo Nordisk warns 2026 sales, profit to drop 5-13% as shares tumble

NVONVO

Novo Nordisk pre-released its 2026 forecast showing sales and operating profit declines of 5% to 13% at constant exchange rates, triggering an 18% slide in Copenhagen shares. CEO Mike Doustdar attributed headwinds to US pricing cuts on its weight-loss drug Wegovy but said lower prices will broaden patient access.

1. CEO Flags Painful U.S. Price Reductions for Wegovy

Novo Nordisk CEO Mike Doustdar told investors that the company expects the price of its best-selling obesity treatment Wegovy in the United States to decline significantly before recovering. He described the cuts as “painful” for the company’s near-term financial results but argued that broader patient access will support volume growth in the longer term. Doustdar indicated that lower realized prices under the U.S. Most Favoured Nations agreement and reduced Medicaid coverage will be partially offset by self-pay channel expansion through NovoCare and telehealth partnerships.

2. 2026 Sales and Profit Outlook Revised Lower

The company surprise-preannounced guidance showing both sales and operating profit at constant exchange rates are now expected to decline by between 5% and 13% in 2026. This contrasts with 2025, when sales grew 10% to DKK 309.1 billion and operating profit rose 6% to DKK 127.7 billion. Excluding a one-time reversal of DKK 31.5 billion related to U.S. 340B rebate provisions, the midpoint of underlying profit guidance would still represent a contraction. Barclays analysts have noted that this ‘kitchen sink’ forecast may prove conservative but underline that the U-shaped recovery story has yet to materialize.

3. Launch of DKK 3.8 Billion Share Repurchase Programme

As part of an overall DKK 15 billion buyback mandate for 2026, Novo Nordisk will execute a share repurchase programme of up to DKK 3.8 billion between February 4 and May 4. The plan allows the purchase of up to 400 million B shares and fulfils obligations under the company’s share-based incentive schemes. Nordea Danmark has been appointed lead manager. Continuation beyond the May window will require fresh shareholder authorization at the 2026 Annual General Meeting.

Sources

RGPGW
+15 more