Nvidia Overtakes Apple as TSMC's Largest Customer on AI Demand Surge
Nvidia Corp overtook Apple Inc as TSMC's largest customer this week, driven by unprecedented AI processor orders. CEO Jensen Huang confirmed on his podcast that the foundry shift reflects accelerating demand for Nvidia's AI chips.
1. TSMC Raises Capital Spending to Meet Surging AI Demand
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. has announced a 32% increase in its capital expenditure budget for 2026, raising planned investment from roughly $41 billion in 2025 to $54 billion next year. Management disclosed that 70–80% of the new spend will be dedicated to advanced process technologies at 7-nanometer nodes and below, underpinning the company’s dominant foundry position for high-performance computing and artificial intelligence workloads. This follows the company’s decision to guide for approximately 30% revenue growth in 2026, reflecting sustained demand from hyperscale cloud providers and AI platform developers.
2. Strong Financial Performance and Analyst Consensus
TSMC delivered a 54% gain in its share price during 2025 and reported full-year revenue of $122 billion, up 36% year-over-year. Fourth-quarter sales rose 26% year-over-year, with gross margin expanding from 59% to 62.3% and operating margin climbing to 54%. Wall Street’s consensus among 49 covering analysts is overwhelmingly positive, with 98% rating the shares a buy and an average target implying roughly 25% upside over the next 12–18 months. At a forward P/E multiple near 31, the stock is trading in line with its historical valuation despite accelerated growth expectations.
3. AI and High-Performance Computing Drive Future Growth
High-performance computing (HPC) applications, including AI training and inference, accounted for 58% of TSMC’s revenue in 2025, up 48% from the prior year. Hyperscalers such as Nvidia, Amazon and Meta have signaled plans for multibillion-dollar AI infrastructure spending, supporting TSMC’s plan for a 25% compound annual growth rate through 2029. The foundry’s advanced packaging and chip-on-wafer-on-substrate capabilities further strengthen its moat, positioning the company to capture a growing share of the $500 billion semiconductor market driven by generative AI, data center expansion and next-generation mobile devices.