Nvidia Up 70% Past Year Faces AI CapEx Squeeze, TSMC 30% Growth

NVDANVDA

Nvidia shares, down 3% YTD but up 70% past year, face investor scrutiny over heavy AI CapEx with unclear ROI and TSMC’s 30% revenue growth tied to AI chip demand. CEO Jensen Huang framed AI as a 'five layer cake' ahead of next week's GTC conference.

1. Stock Performance and Investor Concerns

Nvidia’s shares have outpaced the market with a 70% gain over the past year, yet they are down 3% year to date as investors weigh the company’s aggressive AI capital expenditures against uncertain returns. The heavy spending push has sparked debate over potential margin pressures and whether cost controls or workforce adjustments could follow in tech leader footsteps.

2. TSMC Revenue Jump Reflects AI Demand

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported a 30% year-over-year revenue increase for January and February, underscoring surging demand for Nvidia’s AI-focused chips. As Nvidia’s primary foundry partner, TSMC’s early-year sales momentum serves as a bellwether for the strength of AI infrastructure build-out globally.

3. Jensen Huang’s GTC Outlook

Ahead of Nvidia’s annual GTC developer conference, CEO Jensen Huang described artificial intelligence as a “five layer cake” of energy, chips, infrastructure, models and applications. His remarks aim to reinforce Nvidia’s role in defining AI as foundational infrastructure, with investor attention on announcements that could drive the next phase of growth.

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