Oracle Ramps $50B AI Cloud CapEx, Seeks FedRAMP, Takes 45% TikTok US JV Stake

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Oracle will invest $50B in GPU-rich data centers to boost AI-driven revenue and pursue FedRAMP Moderate for Primavera Cloud to enter multi-year U.S. federal contracts. It also took a 45% stake in the TikTok U.S. joint venture, prompting a 4.3% stock surge.

1. Oracle Data Center Outage Disrupts TikTok U.S. Services

A severe weather-related power failure at one of Oracle’s primary data centers in Ashburn, Virginia, on January 24 knocked offline critical servers for approximately 18 hours and caused cascading system failures for TikTok users across the United States. The outage led to a 150% spike in daily app deletions over the following five days, according to Sensor Tower data, as frustrated users encountered slow load times, timed-out requests and zero view counts on newly posted videos. Oracle engineers worked around the clock with the data center operator to restore redundant power feeds and implement additional generator capacity, highlighting both the strategic importance of Oracle’s infrastructure for third-party platforms and the operational risks of single-site disruptions.

2. Is Oracle’s Rising Cloud CapEx Driving Its Next Growth Phase?

Oracle has announced plans to increase its annual cloud infrastructure capital expenditures to $50 billion over the next three years, up from approximately $40 billion in fiscal 2025, in order to build out GPU-rich data centers tailored for artificial intelligence workloads. Management forecasts that the new facilities will deliver incremental revenue growth of 30% year-over-year in Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) by Q4 2026, as enterprise customers in finance, healthcare and manufacturing ramp usage of generative AI models. The company expects to add more than 15 new regions globally, bringing its total to 40, and to deploy over 200,000 next-generation GPU accelerators by the end of fiscal 2027.

3. Institutional Investors Trim and Rebalance Oracle Positions

In the latest SEC filings for the third quarter of 2025, Belpointe Asset Management reduced its position in Oracle by 18.2%, selling 5,327 shares, while Vanguard Group increased its holdings by 2.1%, adding 3.35 million shares to reach 164.28 million shares—representing roughly 12.5% of total outstanding shares. State Street lifted its stake by 1.7%, and Norges Bank initiated a new position valued at $4.28 billion. As of December, institutional investors collectively owned 42.4% of the company. These portfolio moves reflect a broader reevaluation of large-cap software names as cloud spending accelerates and capital allocation priorities shift towards infrastructure build-out.

4. Can Oracle’s FedRAMP Push Unlock Federal Cloud Opportunities?

Oracle is advancing its Primavera Cloud project management suite through the FedRAMP Moderate authorization process, targeting approvals by mid-2026 to serve U.S. federal agencies with multi-year contract potential. The company projects that FedRAMP certification could open access to an addressable market of over $10 billion in federal cloud spending over the next five years. By securing a government-grade security posture and continuous monitoring capabilities, Oracle aims to compete for large Department of Defense and civilian agency workloads, further diversifying its revenue streams beyond the commercial sector.

Sources

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