Palantir Nets Three-Year Cleveland-Cliffs AI Deal; Citi Trims Price Target to $210

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Palantir signed a three-year agreement with Cleveland-Cliffs to deploy its AI platform across production planning, order entry and daily operations, aiming to streamline its manufacturing footprint. Citi raised growth estimates by 500 basis points for FY27-28 but trimmed its price target to $210, citing 48x FY27 EV/sales.

1. Three-Year Cleveland-Cliffs Partnership

Palantir secured a three-year contract with Cleveland-Cliffs to integrate its AI-driven platform into core workflows including production planning, order entry and daily operations. The deployment aims to unify data streams across fragmented manufacturing processes and enhance decision-making efficiency at multiple steelmaking facilities.

2. Valuation Update from Citi

Citi raised its growth forecasts by roughly 45% for Q1 and FY26 and projected FY27 and FY28 estimates more than 500 basis points above consensus, yet cut its price target from $260 to $210. The firm highlighted that Palantir trades at about 48x FY27 EV/sales and 87x EV/free cash flow, reflecting elevated software multiples.

3. Earnings Outlook and Market Reaction

Investors await Q1 results on May 4 with Wall Street consensus at $1.54 billion in revenue and $0.28 EPS, while Wedbush and Baird maintain Outperform ratings with $230 and $200 price targets. Broader AI valuation pressures drove a near 2.8% stock decline, even as full-year guidance sits between $7.182 billion and $7.198 billion.

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