Palantir Shares Drop 3.8% in Week; 2026 Revenue Seen at $4.198B, 2030 EPS $1.27
Palantir shares have declined 3.8% in the last five trading sessions after a 1.68% drop the prior week, though the stock remains up 146.92% over the past year. 24/7 Wall St. forecasts 2026 revenue of $4.198 billion with EPS of $0.56 and projects revenue of $8.482 billion and EPS of $1.27 by 2030.
1. Recent Stock Performance and AI Rotation Pressure
Palantir Technologies’ shares have continued to drift lower to start the year, sliding 3.80% over the last five trading sessions following a 1.68% decline in the prior five. This retracement reflects a broader rotation out of artificial intelligence–focused stocks that began in late 2025, though Palantir remains up 146.92% over the past 12 months. Since its public debut in October 2020, the stock has surged an eye-popping 1,758.37%, underscoring sustained investor enthusiasm for its data-analytics and AI platforms despite short-term volatility.
2. Q3 Earnings Beat and Major Government Contracts
In its November reporting period, Palantir topped expectations again, delivering quarterly EPS of $0.21 versus consensus of $0.17 and revenue of $1.18 billion versus $1.09 billion expected. Quarterly revenue jumped 62.8% year-over-year and carried a net margin of 28.11%. The company attributed its strength to accelerating adoption of its AI software offerings. Key contract wins include a £1.5 billion defense partnership with the U.K. government, a $10 billion software and data deal with the U.S. Army, a $30 million ICE immigration-tracking contract and a federal database initiative valued at several hundred million dollars aimed at citizen data integration.
3. 2026–2030 Financial Forecast and Long-Term Price Targets
Analysts at 24/7 Wall St. project Palantir’s revenue to grow from $4.198 billion in 2026 to $8.482 billion by 2030, with net income climbing from $1.465 billion to $2.990 billion over the same period. EPS are forecast to rise from $0.56 in 2026 to $1.27 in 2030. Based on these assumptions—and factoring in a compound annual growth rate of approximately 26% in government contract sales—the group’s year-end 2026 price target is $202.50, implying roughly 18.4% upside, while a 2030 target of $288.00 suggests potential gains of about 68.5% from current levels.