Palantir Shares 10% Off Highs After Q3 Revenue Jumps 63% to $1.18B

PLTRPLTR

Palantir shares trade 10% below record highs as it readies February earnings, after Q3 revenue rose 63% year-over-year to $1.18B and net income reached $476M (40% margin). Government revenue climbed 52% to $486M and commercial sales surged 121% to $397M, while the forward price-to-earnings ratio remains elevated at 254.

1. AI Forecast for January 31, 2026

Analysts using a leading AI model project that Palantir will trade near $180 by the end of January, with a likely range between $165 and $195. This outlook balances strong demand for Palantir’s government and commercial AI platforms against valuation concerns following a 5.5% drop in early January that erased much of the prior rally. The forecast assumes consolidation ahead of the company’s full-year earnings report in early February, with upside tied to major contract wins or better‐than‐expected results and downside risk linked to renewed sector-wide selling pressure.

2. Dip Buying Case for Palantir

After soaring nearly 140% in 2025 and rallying 121% over the past year, Palantir has pulled back roughly 10% from its all-time highs. In Q3, revenue grew 63% year-over-year to reach $1.18 billion, and net income of $476 million translated into a 40% profit margin. The company averaged more than one deal per day valued at over $1 million (204 such deals in the quarter), while commercial revenue climbed 121% and government revenue rose 52%. Despite a forward P/E above 250, many investors draw parallels to early-stage high-P/E growth stocks such as Amazon, arguing that Palantir’s Artificial Intelligence Platform could fuel further rapid expansion.

3. Institutional Activity in Q3

In the third quarter, one wealth management firm halved its position in Palantir, selling 5,000 shares and reducing its stake to 5,000 shares valued at approximately $912,000. Other institutional investors displayed mixed behavior, with some raising holdings by up to 147% and others trimming positions modestly. Overall, hedge funds and institutions now own about 46% of the outstanding shares, reflecting both confidence in long-term AI demand and caution over current valuation levels.

Sources

FFFDF
+2 more