Popular Draws Moderate Buy Ratings with $133.78 Average Target, Truist Eyes $153

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Eleven brokerages rate Popular a Moderate Buy (nine Buy, two Hold) with a $133.78 average 12-month price target, and Truist launched coverage at Buy with a $153 target. Popular’s Q3 EPS was $3.14, beating consensus by $0.10, on revenue of $720.8 million (-1.3% y/y), and its $0.75 quarterly dividend yields 2.3%.

1. Consensus Recommendation and Price Targets

Eleven brokerages currently cover Popular, Inc., assigning an average rating of "Moderate Buy." Of those, nine rate the stock as a buy and two as a hold. Over the past twelve months, analysts’ 12-month price targets have averaged $133.78, reflecting roughly a 4.6% premium to the stock’s recent trading levels. This consensus suggests steady upside potential under current market conditions, with the dispersion of targets ranging from Wells Fargo’s lowered $135 to Truist’s more optimistic $153.

2. Recent Analyst Activity

Since October, the stock has attracted fresh and revised coverage. Truist initiated with a buy rating and a $153 target in early October. Barclays and UBS have maintained their overweight and neutral views, respectively, with UBS reaffirming neutrality in January. Zacks Research trimmed its outlook from strong-buy to hold in December, while Wells Fargo cut its target from $150 to $135 in late October. These shifts highlight a balance between optimism on loan growth and caution over revenue pressures in commercial banking.

3. Financial Performance and Valuation Metrics

In its latest quarter, Popular delivered earnings per share of $3.14, topping the consensus by $0.10, on revenue of $720.8 million, below the expected $803.9 million and down 1.3% year-over-year. The bank’s return on equity stands at 13.27%, with a net margin of 17.63%. At current levels, the shares trade at a price-to-earnings ratio of 11.3 and a price-to-earnings-growth ratio of 0.53. Market capitalization is approximately $8.5 billion. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages converge around $119, indicating stability after recent volatility between twelve-month highs of $131.10 and lows of $78.23.

4. Dividends, Insider Trades and Institutional Ownership

Popular pays a quarterly dividend of $0.75, annualized to $3.00 for a yield of roughly 2.3%, with a payout ratio of 26.6%. On January 2nd, shareholders received the latest distribution after the December 5th record date. Insiders have recently sold blocks of shares: Director Richard L. Carrión offloaded 25,000 shares at an average of $113.50, reducing his stake by 11.5%, and VP Denissa Rodriguez sold 1,000 shares at $114.84, cutting her holding by 27.8%. Institutional investors hold 87.27% of the float, with recent small stakes established by Advisory Services Network LLC and Steph & Co., and notable percentage increases by Allworth Financial LP and True Wealth Design LLC in the second and third quarters.

Sources

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