Qualcomm Q3 EPS Beats by $0.13 as Revenue Jumps 10%, Guides Q1 to $3.30–3.50
Qualcomm reported Q3 EPS of $3.00, beating the $2.87 consensus by $0.13, and revenue of $11.27 billion versus $10.74 billion estimates, marking a 10% year-over-year increase. The company set Q1 2026 EPS guidance at $3.30–3.50 and saw insider and institutional investors execute significant transactions, including Kingstone’s 58.8 million-share position.
1. Technical Momentum Warning
Qualcomm’s MACD chart recorded a bearish crossover just before year-end, marking the first such signal since early 2023 when the stock slumped by 10% over two weeks. This reversal in momentum has persisted into the first trading week of the new year, suggesting that short-term moving averages have begun to undercut longer-term averages. Traders will be watching whether this pattern triggers a broader sell-off or proves to be a false alarm, as it did in May when the stock rebounded sharply after only three trading days of weakness.
2. Croban and Institutional Stake Adjustments
In its Q3 13F filing, Croban disclosed a 77.4% reduction in its Qualcomm position, selling 5,333 shares and retaining 1,560 shares valued at approximately $260,000. Meanwhile, Kingstone Capital Partners Texas dramatically expanded its exposure by acquiring an additional 58.8 million shares during the second quarter, lifting its holding to 58.8 million shares. Norges Bank initiated a new multi-billion-dollar position in the same period, and Amundi, Viking Global and Rafferty Asset Management all reported double-digit percentage increases in their Qualcomm stakes. Collectively, institutional and hedge fund ownership now stands at roughly three-quarters of the company’s float.
3. Strong Quarterly Results and Shareholder Returns
In early November, Qualcomm announced third-quarter earnings of $3.00 per share, surpassing consensus by $0.13, on revenue of $11.27 billion—a 10.0% year-over-year increase. Net margin reached 12.5% and return on equity topped 43%, driven by robust demand for SoC and modem products in handsets and automotive applications. Management guided Q1 EPS to a range of $3.30–$3.50 and reaffirmed full-year consensus of approximately $9.40 per share. The company also declared a quarterly dividend that annualizes to $3.56 per share, representing a payout ratio near 73% and a yield just over 2%, underscoring a commitment to returning cash to investors amidst ongoing R&D investments.