Rio Tinto and AWS Partner for 30,000-Tonne Low-Carbon Copper; MOUs with BHP for 200 Mt Ore

RIORIO

Rio Tinto will produce 30,000 tonnes of low-carbon copper over four years through a two-year AWS collaboration leveraging Nuton’s bioleaching analytics for its Johnson Camp mine. The company also signed non-binding MOUs with BHP to develop Pilbara Wunbye and Yandi deposits, targeting extraction of up to 200 Mt of iron ore.

1. Compelling Dividend Yield and Valuation

Rio Tinto offers a trailing dividend yield of approximately 7.2%, supported by free cash flow conversions above 90% over the past three years. Analysts forecast underlying profits to grow by 10% year-on-year in fiscal 2026, driven by steady iron ore margins and recovering base-metal prices. At a forward P/E near 8.5x and an enterprise-value/EBITDA multiple around 5.5x, the shares remain attractively valued versus long-term averages, leaving room for multiple expansion if commodity fundamentals strengthen.

2. Record Iron Ore Production and Robust Demand

In Q3, Rio Tinto achieved a record 88.1 million tonnes of Pilbara iron ore production, up 4% from the prior quarter, as Gudai-Darri ramp-up reached full capacity. Improved Pilbara infrastructure utilization lifted total iron ore shipments by 3.5% year-over-year. Simultaneously, seaborne iron ore prices have firmed above $100 per tonne benchmark levels, underpinned by sustained Chinese steel output and restocking by Asian steel mills. These factors support near-term EBITDA growth and reinforce dividend stability for investors.

3. Strategic M&A Talks with Glencore

Rio Tinto is in preliminary discussions with Glencore to explore a potential joint venture for select copper and nickel assets in Western Australia and Canada. While non-binding at this stage, the proposed partnership could unlock synergies in shared infrastructure and central processing, targeting annual cost savings of $150 million. Management has indicated that any transaction would be structured to preserve Rio Tinto’s investment-grade credit rating, with incremental leverage capped at 1.5x net debt/EBITDA post-deal.

4. 'Clean Copper' Collaboration with Amazon Web Services

Rio Tinto’s Nuton Technology division signed a two-year collaboration with Amazon Web Services to integrate bioleached copper into AWS’s U.S. data-center supply chain. The Johnson Camp operation in Arizona, now the lowest-carbon primary copper producer domestically, aims to deliver 30,000 tonnes of 99.99% pure copper over four years. AWS will provide cloud-based analytics to optimize heap-leach performance and accelerate scale-up, reducing water use by 20% and carbon emissions by an estimated 30% compared to conventional smelting.

Sources

SBZB