Sanmina Q1 Revenue Jumps 59%, EPS Beats But Q2 Guidance Misses
Sanmina reported Q1 revenue of $3.19 billion, a 59% year-over-year increase, and EPS of $2.38, exceeding consensus estimates of $3.09 billion and $2.14 respectively. However, its Q2 sales guidance of $3.1–$3.4 billion missed analysts’ $3.52 billion forecast, triggering a nearly 22% share decline.
1. Transformative First Quarter Performance
Sanmina Corporation delivered a robust Q1 FY26 report, marking its first earnings release following the $240 million acquisition of ZT Systems. Consolidated revenues surged 59% year-over-year to $3.19 billion, surpassing consensus estimates of $3.09 billion. Net income reached $160 million, or $2.38 per diluted share, compared with $95 million, or $1.45 per share, in the year-ago quarter. Free cash flow improved to $120 million, up from $45 million in Q1 FY25, reflecting strong operating leverage and effective integration of ZT’s high-performance computing platforms into Sanmina’s supply chain. Management highlighted a gross margin expansion of 180 basis points to 12.6% despite input-cost inflation, underscoring the company’s pricing discipline and operational efficiencies.
2. Disappointing Forward Guidance Sparks Market Reaction
Despite the strong top-line and bottom-line beats, Sanmina’s Q2 guidance triggered investor concern. The company projected net sales in the range of $3.1 billion to $3.4 billion, below the $3.52 billion analysts had forecast. Adjusted EBITDA for the coming quarter is expected between $290 million and $330 million, implying a year-over-year decline in margin. Management cited seasonal softness in legacy telecommunications orders and extended lead times for certain AI infrastructure components as drivers of the cautious outlook. The stock fell almost 22% on the day of the announcement, reflecting the market’s sensitivity to any divergence from high-growth expectations in the technology manufacturing space.
3. Long-Term AI Infrastructure Opportunity
Sanmina’s enhanced product portfolio positions it to capitalize on escalating demand for AI compute solutions. ZT Systems brings custom server and rack-scale architectures tailored for hyperscale data centers, a market projected to grow at a 30% compound annual rate through 2029. Sanmina’s global manufacturing footprint and engineering services now span 27 facilities across five continents, enabling faster time-to-market for AI OEM customers. Analysts note that Sanmina’s backlog for AI-related engagements stands at $1.1 billion as of April 30, up 40% sequentially. With gross margins in AI hardware typically 300 basis points higher than legacy electronics assembly, the company could see operating margin expansion beyond current guidance once volume ramps accelerate in late fiscal 2026.