Schwab Dividend ETF Underperforms as Treasury Yields Surge, Analysts Advise 10% Pullback
SCHD•The Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF screens for firms with 10+ years of dividends to provide a defensive hedge as AI enthusiasm fades and volatility spikes but has underperformed on NAV and dividend growth. Rising Treasury yields have reduced its appeal, prompting a wait for a 10%+ pullback before adding.
1. ETF Strategy and Screening
Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF focuses on financially healthy companies with at least ten consecutive years of dividend payments, aiming to deliver stable income and lower volatility through a defensive stock selection process.
2. Underperformance on NAV and Dividends
Despite its defensive positioning, the ETF has lagged in net asset value and dividend growth compared to broader equity benchmarks, as investors rotate into higher-growth sectors.
3. Impact of Rising Treasury Yields
With the 10-year Treasury yield around 4.6%, the ETF’s yield premium over risk-free rates has compressed, reducing its attractiveness for income-focused portfolios.
4. Analyst Recommendations
Analysts suggest waiting for at least a 10% pullback before adding to positions, citing current interest-rate headwinds and the potential for more favorable entry levels if volatility continues.





