Serve Robotics Garners Moderate Buy Rating with $18.80 Target and DoorDash Partnership
Serve Robotics received an average “Moderate Buy” rating from nine analysts, with a consensus 12-month target price of $18.80 implying 27.8% upside. The company’s $0.69 million quarterly revenue and ($0.54) EPS missed estimates, while a partnership with DoorDash and Nvidia CEO praise at CES 2026 signal growth catalysts.
1. Earnings Performance and Profitability
Serve Robotics reported third-quarter revenue of $0.69 million, matching consensus forecasts, but posted a loss per share of $0.54, missing estimates by $0.17. For the full fiscal year, the company generated gross revenues of $1.81 million and incurred a net loss of $39.19 million, translating to an annualized loss per share near $1.49. Its negative net margin of 4,121.58% and return on equity of –38.52% highlight operating inefficiencies as the autonomous delivery business scales.
2. Analyst Consensus and Growth Catalysts
Among nine research firms covering Serve Robotics, one recommends a sell, one a hold, five a buy and two a strong buy, yielding an average rating of “Moderate Buy.” Analysts emphasize the company’s strategic partnership with a leading food-delivery platform as a key catalyst for increased robot utilization and improved unit economics. The firm’s low beta of 0.27 underscores defensive characteristics relative to broader markets.
3. Institutional Ownership and Insider Activity
Institutional investors hold roughly 15% of Serve Robotics shares, while insiders control 21.4%. Over the past quarter, insiders sold 206,277 shares—valued at approximately $2.52 million—across multiple transactions, including notable sales by the CEO and CFO. Recent filings show new positions established by several asset managers, including a $59,000 stake acquired by a global investment firm, signaling cautious optimism among professional investors.