SoFi Posts $10.5B Originations, 53% Fee Revenue Growth; Shares Slip 18%

SOFISOFI

In Q4 2025 SoFi generated $10.5B in loan originations, $38B in deposits and 53% year-over-year fee-based revenue growth, driving $318M in adjusted EBITDA at a 31% margin. Despite an 18% share decline to below $25, management projects FY26 adjusted net revenue growth of 30% and 52% adjusted EBITDA growth.

1. Robust Q4 2025 Execution

SoFi Technologies reported another quarter of exceptional growth, with fee-based revenue up 53% year-over-year and total originations reaching $10.5 billion. Deposits on the platform climbed to $38 billion, underscoring strong member engagement and high-quality borrower profiles. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter came in at $318 million, representing a 31% margin and a 44% incremental margin, as operating leverage in both Financial Services and Lending continued to drive profitability.

2. Selloff Appears Overdone

Despite the fundamental momentum, SoFi’s stock has underperformed broader fintech peers following sector-wide volatility. Investor concern over near-term net interest margin pressure and uncertain refinancing volumes contributed to an 18% pullback from recent highs. However, with over 12.6 million members on the platform and diversified revenue streams—personal loans, student refinancing, wealth management and payment services—the current valuation discounts sustained execution and growth visibility.

3. Growth Outlook and Key Risks

Management’s guidance for fiscal 2026 calls for approximately 30% adjusted net revenue growth and 52% adjusted EBITDA growth, driven by continued customer acquisition, expanded product adoption and cross-sell initiatives. Potential headwinds include regulatory proposals that could constrain loan refinancing eligibility and cyclical softening in consumer credit demand, which may weigh on net interest margins. Investors with a multi-year horizon and tolerance for fintech regulatory shifts may find the risk/reward profile attractive given the company’s improving unit economics and scaling platform.

Sources

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