Toll Brothers Q2 EPS Seen Down 26.6%, Options Signal 7.3% Swing
TOL•Toll Brothers forecasts Q2 EPS of $2.57 on $2.41 billion revenue, down 26.6% and 12% YoY, as options price a 7.3% post-earnings swing versus a 4.1% average. Shares hit November lows with RSI at 21 and a 50-day put/call ratio of 1.60, near one-year highs.
1. Q2 Earnings Expectations
Toll Brothers will report fiscal second-quarter results on May 19, with consensus projections of $2.57 per share in earnings on $2.41 billion in revenue, marking declines of 26.6% and 12% year-over-year.
2. Post-Earnings Track Record
The stock has fallen in each of its last six post-earnings sessions and in seven of the last eight, underscoring market skepticism around quarterly results.
3. Options and Technical Indicators
Options are pricing in a 7.3% move post-earnings, well above the 4.1% historical average, while shares sit at November lows with a 14-day RSI of 21; the 50-day put/call ratio of 1.60 ranks in the 92nd percentile and the volatility scorecard stands at 27.
