UBS boosts BlackRock price target to $1,218, projects 18.8% revenue growth
UBS retained a Neutral rating on BlackRock, raising its price target from $1,180 to $1,218 while forecasting Q4 EPS of $12.41 (up 4% YoY) and revenues of $6.75 billion (up 18.8%). Analysts have lifted consensus EPS estimates by 1.6% over the past month, bolstering near-term outlook.
1. Inspirion Establishes $25.87 Million Position in CLOA
Inspirion Wealth Advisors initiated a new allocation of $25.87 million into BlackRock’s iShares AAA CLO Active ETF (CLOA), purchasing 499,926 shares. The fund targets AAA-rated collateralized loan obligations and currently yields 5.35% with monthly distributions. Over the past 12 months, CLOA has delivered a total return of 5.43%, underperforming the S&P 500 by 13.76 percentage points. This move underscores investor demand for stable, income-oriented products within BlackRock’s broader ETF lineup.
2. BlackRock to Cut Approximately 250 Jobs in Efficiency Drive
A company spokesperson confirmed that BlackRock will eliminate around 250 roles as part of its routine cost-optimization process. The headcount reduction represents roughly 0.15% of BlackRock’s 162,000 global workforce and follows a series of similar actions over the past two years. Management expects the savings to bolster operating margins by up to 20 basis points in fiscal 2026, enhancing profitability amid modest fee pressures.
3. CIO Rieder Advocates for 3% Fed Funds Target
Rick Rieder, BlackRock’s Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income, reiterated his view that the Federal Reserve should lower the federal funds rate to 3%, which he considers closer to long-run equilibrium. Speaking at a fixed-income conference, Rieder pointed to persistent resilience in inflation data and signs of slowing economic growth as justification. His call aligns with BlackRock’s broader fixed-income strategy, which currently allocates 38% of its bond portfolios to high-quality sovereign and corporate credit.
4. Q4 Inflows and AUM Growth to Support Earnings Upside
Analysts forecast that strong net inflows and AUM expansion will drive year-over-year revenue and earnings growth in BlackRock’s fourth quarter. Consensus estimates project fee revenues of $6.75 billion, up 18.8%, and adjusted EPS growth of 4%. In the first eleven months of fiscal 2025, the firm reported net new inflows of $250 billion, with $95 billion directed into ESG and thematic strategies—trends expected to underpin margin stability and a positive revisions cycle heading into next quarter.