UnitedHealth Q4 EPS Beats; FY26 EPS Guidance at 17.75, Jefferies Cuts Target
UnitedHealth reported Q4 EPS of $2.11 vs $2.09 consensus on $113.22B revenue, up 12.3% year-over-year, and set FY2026 EPS guidance at 17.75. Jefferies cut its price target to $340 from $418, Oppenheimer trimmed to $385, and TD Cowen raised to $338, leaving the average target at $376.75.
1. Valuation Reassessment
Over the past year, UnitedHealth Group’s premium valuation has come under scrutiny as the stock lags sector peers despite consistent operational stability. The company’s price-to-earnings multiple, which has traditionally commanded a double-digit premium over the broader health care index, now sits closer to the sector average. Analysts have lowered their target multiples, with Jefferies cutting its objective from 418x to 340x forward earnings and Oppenheimer trimming its valuation assumptions from 415x to 385x. With return on equity steady near 14.8% and net margin holding at 2.7%, investors are weighing whether the discounted multiple presents an attractive entry point or signals a broader shift in growth expectations.
2. Institutional Buying Activity
Recent 13F filings reveal heightened confidence from mid-sized institutional managers. In the third quarter, Lee Financial acquired 3,390 shares at a total cost of approximately 1.17 million dollars, while Brighton Jones more than doubled its position—adding 28,231 shares—to hold 44,249 shares valued at roughly 22.38 million. Revolve Wealth Partners increased its stake by 137.1%, now holding 4,019 shares worth just over 2.03 million. Overall, hedge funds and institutions account for 87.9% of shares outstanding, underscoring broad support from professional investors despite valuation headwinds.
3. Earnings and Guidance Update
In its latest quarterly release, UnitedHealth reported earnings per share of 2.11, beating consensus by 0.02, on revenue of 113.22 billion, just shy of the expected 113.38 billion. Year-over-year revenue growth of 12.3% was driven by strength across both UnitedHealthcare and Optum platforms, while net margin remained near 2.7%. Management reaffirmed full-year EPS guidance in the range of 17.75, and analysts now project full-year earnings of 29.54 per share. The board’s declared quarterly dividend of 2.21 per share reflects a payout ratio of 67%, supporting a 3.1% yield that remains attractive relative to corporate peers.