Vital Farms Q4 EPS Miss and 2026 Guidance Cut Sends Shares Down 18.9%

VITLVITL

Vital Farms reported Q4 EPS of $0.35, missing estimates by 11%, while revenue rose 28.7% to $213.6 million. The company forecast 2026 revenue midpoint of $910 million and adjusted EBITDA of $110 million, below consensus by 3.1% and 17.7%, triggering an 18.9% share decline.

1. Q4 Financial Performance

Vital Farms delivered Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.35, an 11% shortfall versus analyst forecasts, while revenue increased 28.7% year-over-year to $213.6 million, matching expectations.

2. 2026 Outlook and Guidance

For fiscal 2026 management set revenue guidance at a $910 million midpoint, 3.1% below consensus, and sized adjusted EBITDA at a $110 million midpoint, 17.7% below forecast, raising questions about margin expansion and capital allocation plans.

3. Share Reaction and Volatility

Shares plunged 18.9% on the weak outlook, marking one of the largest single-day drops in a year that saw 26 moves of 5% or more, underscoring elevated volatility and investor sensitivity to guidance.

Sources

ZF