Wall Street Firms Project 40% Upside for Nvidia with $250–$275 Price Targets
Nvidia is reportedly in talks to invest $30 billion in OpenAI while awaiting Chinese approval to sell its H200 AI chips. Morgan Stanley and Bernstein maintained overweight and buy ratings with $250 and $275 price targets, respectively, implying a consensus $264 target and about 40% upside.
1. Major Institutional Stake Increase
In its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission, Allen Capital Group LLC disclosed a 6.1% increase in its position in NVIDIA Corporation during the third quarter. The firm added 4,358 shares to bring its total to 75,274, making NVIDIA its 19th largest holding and representing approximately 1.3% of the fund’s $1.08 billion portfolio. At the time of the filing, the NVIDIA stake was valued at $14.05 million, reflecting the growing conviction among asset managers in the secular AI and data center markets that NVIDIA dominates.
2. Significant Insider Dispositions
During the fourth quarter, two senior executives reduced their holdings in NVIDIA shares. Director Harvey C. Jones sold 250,000 shares on December 15, trimming his stake by 3.48% for proceeds of $44.33 million. Shortly thereafter, EVP Ajay K. Puri executed a sale of 200,000 shares on January 7, representing a 4.98% reduction and generating $37.56 million in proceeds. These transactions contributed to insider sales totaling 1.61 million shares valued at $293.29 million over the trailing 90 days, while company insiders still retain a combined 4.17% ownership stake.
3. Q3 Earnings and Balance Sheet Strength
In the quarter ended October 29, NVIDIA reported revenue of $57.01 billion, up 62.5% year-over-year, driven by robust demand for data center GPUs. Adjusted earnings per share of $1.30 exceeded consensus by $0.07, yielding a net margin of 53.0% and a return on equity of 99.2%. The company’s liquidity profile remains strong, with a quick ratio of 3.71 and a current ratio of 4.47, while long-term debt represents just 6% of total equity. Analysts have revised annual EPS estimates to 2.77 for the current fiscal year, underscoring confidence in continued momentum across AI, gaming, and professional visualization end markets.