Walmart Cuts Q2 EPS Outlook to $0.72–$0.74, Warns of Consumer Strain

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Walmart cut its adjusted Q2 EPS forecast to $0.72–$0.74, below the $0.75 consensus, and signaled similar weakness for the full year, triggering a 7% stock drop. The CFO noted Walmart gas stations saw customers purchasing under 10 gallons for the first time since 2022, illustrating lower-income consumer strain.

1. Guidance Revision

Walmart adjusted its earnings outlook for the current quarter to $0.72–$0.74 per share, below the consensus target of $0.75. It also indicated full-year performance may fall short of prior expectations, attributing this to waning tax refund impact and rising fuel expenses.

2. Consumer Pressure at Pumps

The CFO highlighted that average fill-ups at Walmart gas stations dropped below 10 gallons for the first time since 2022. This shift is interpreted as a clear indicator of financial stress among price-sensitive consumers, especially those at lower income levels.

3. Strong Q1 Revenue Growth

Despite the cautious outlook, first-quarter results showed a 7% rise in revenue to $177.8 billion and a 4.1% increase in same-store sales. Walmart continues to capture market share as inflation-weary shoppers seek value, offsetting some guidance concerns.

Sources

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