Walmart Q3 EPS Beats Estimates and Tigress Lifts Price Target to $135

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Walmart's Q3 revenue rose 5.8% to $179.5B, beating the $175.15B consensus, with EPS of $0.62 versus $0.60 expected; the company set FY 2026 EPS guidance at $2.58-2.63. Tigress Financial raised its price target from $130 to $135, implying roughly 15% upside.

1. Institutional Stake Increase Bolsters Confidence

During the third quarter, CIBC Asset Management Inc. raised its holding in Walmart Inc. by 0.7%, acquiring 5,434 additional shares to bring its total to 820,277 shares. At the end of the period, CIBC’s Walmart stake was valued at $84.54 million, reflecting continued belief in the retailer’s long-term growth prospects. Other institutional investors also added modest positions: Revolve Wealth Partners increased its stake by 1.0% to 9,926 shares, Atlas Legacy Advisors by 1.1% to 8,707 shares, Meridian Wealth Partners by 2.1% to 4,804 shares, Hemington Wealth Management by 1.8% to 5,695 shares, and Boomfish Wealth Group by 2.7% to 3,701 shares. Collectively, hedge funds and institutions now own 26.76% of Walmart’s equity, underscoring broad professional support for the company’s operational stability and dividend yield.

2. Tigress Financial Lifts Price Target to $135

On January 23, Tigress Financial raised its price objective for Walmart from $130 to $135 while maintaining a “buy” rating. The upgrade reflects Tigress’s expectation of mid-teens upside driven by resilient same-store sales, flat–to-modest gross margin expansion through improved inventory management, and growth in the company’s membership and services offerings. The firm highlighted Walmart’s 5.8% year-over-year revenue growth in the most recent quarter, robust online grocery penetration gains, and continued share gains in core consumables categories as key drivers of upward potential.

3. Winter Storm Fern Threatens Supply Chain and Foot Traffic

As Winter Storm Fern progresses across key U.S. regions, Walmart faces potential disruptions to both its supply chain and in-store traffic. Severe snow and ice forecasts for the Midwest and Northeast could delay deliveries to distribution centers serving over 3,500 stores, risking stockouts in essential categories such as groceries and household staples. Power outages affecting thousands of retail locations may force temporary closures, while reduced consumer mobility could weigh on weekend same-store sales. Management has pre-positioned additional inventory in southern hubs and activated emergency distribution lanes, but extended road closures could nevertheless compress margins and delay promotional rollouts.

4. Q3 Earnings Outperform Estimates, Full-Year Guidance Intact

In its latest quarterly report, Walmart delivered adjusted EPS of $0.62, beating consensus by $0.02, and generated revenue of $179.5 billion, topping estimates by $4.35 billion. The company achieved a net margin of 3.26% and a return on equity of 21.31%, underpinned by a 5.8% increase in consolidated sales versus the prior year. Management reaffirmed full-year guidance of $2.58–2.63 in adjusted EPS, supported by expectations of mid-single-digit comp growth, ongoing expense discipline, and incremental contributions from Sam’s Club and e-commerce services. Investors will be watching winter storm impacts and inventory turns when Walmart provides its next monthly sales update.

Sources

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