Vistra Corp. shares fell by 7.54% in the latest session, underperforming the broader power sector by nearly four percentage points. Trading volume surged to more than double its 30-day average, indicating heavy sell-side activity as investors digested the company’s near-term outlook and sector-wide supply concerns.

Over the past three years, Vistra has delivered a total return of 655%, driven by surging electricity demand from AI and cloud infrastructure. To sustain growth, the company is bolstering its generation mix through acquisitions in nuclear, solar and natural gas. In a marquee agreement, Vistra signed a 20-year power supply contract with Meta, securing a foundational revenue stream that bridges utility operations with hyperscale data-center demand.

Analysts forecast compound annual growth of 13% for both revenue and adjusted EBITDA through 2027, citing contributions from new capacity online and contractual off-take agreements. At roughly 11 times forward EBITDA, the stock’s valuation implies another 13% upside over the next year, assuming execution on project pipelines and stable regulatory frameworks in key markets.