Alphabet Taps Gemini to Power Apple AI Models in Multi-Year Deal, EPS Estimate Jumps 18%

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Alphabet has struck a multi-year collaboration under which Apple’s next-generation Foundation Models will be built on Google’s Gemini AI models and run on Google Cloud infrastructure. Analysts raised Alphabet’s Zacks Consensus EPS estimate to $10.58, an 18% year-over-year increase that underscores its growing role as an AI infrastructure provider.

1. Broad-Based Growth and Improving Profitability

In Q3 2025 Alphabet reported revenue of $102 billion, up 16% year-over-year, driven by strength across search, YouTube ads and Google Cloud. Diluted earnings per share surged 35%, reflecting disciplined cost controls and higher-margin business mix. Google Cloud posted its fourth consecutive quarter of profitability, narrowing its operating loss by more than 50% compared with the prior year. Alphabet’s net income margin stands at 32%, supported by ongoing efficiency initiatives and investment in AI-powered ad targeting.

2. US Transmission Constraints Hinder Data Center Expansion

An energy executive at Google disclosed that connecting new data centers to the U.S. electrical transmission system now faces wait times exceeding a decade in parts of the country. Alphabet’s planned capacity additions for AI training and cloud services have been delayed as grid interconnection applications back up at regional authorities. The company is working with utilities and federal regulators to streamline permitting, but the bottleneck poses a material risk to Google’s infrastructure rollout and could affect its ability to meet growing enterprise demand for cloud-based AI workloads.

3. Strategic Multi-Year Collaboration with Apple

Alphabet and Apple announced a multi-year partnership under which Apple’s next-generation Foundation Models will be built on Google’s Gemini architecture and run on Google Cloud’s private compute infrastructure. This deal secures Google’s position as a leading AI backbone provider for the world’s largest consumer device ecosystem, while addressing concerns around Apple’s in-house AI development timeline. Analysts note that embedding Gemini in iOS services could boost Google Cloud revenue by mid-single-digit percentage points over the next two years and further solidify Gemini’s market share against competing platforms.

4. Alphabet Hits $4 Trillion Market Capitalization

Alphabet’s market capitalization surpassed $4 trillion in late 2025, making it one of only two publicly traded companies to reach that milestone. The milestone reflects robust free cash flow generation—over $70 billion in the trailing twelve months—and a strong balance sheet with cash and equivalents exceeding total debt by a factor of two. Investor confidence remains high as Alphabet continues to invest in AI research, data center expansion and strategic partnerships, positioning the company for sustained long-term growth.

Sources

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