Evercore, BofA Lift Apple Price Targets on Record 2025 Revenue, Executive Retirements
Apple delivered record 2025 revenue, with iPhone demand and $109.2B in Services sales lifting its market cap above $4T; COO Jeff Williams, government affairs head Lisa Jackson and AI chief John Giannandrea plan retirements. Analysts set a $299.49 12-month target (range $230-$350), Evercore raised to $330 and BofA reaffirmed $325.
1. Wall Street Bull Sees 35% Upside on Four Key Catalysts
Goldman Sachs analyst Lisa Ellis outlined four potential developments that could drive Apple’s shares up by as much as 35% this year: a sharper-than-expected rebound in Greater China iPhone sales, a major overhaul of Siri with artificial-intelligence enhancements, the successful launch of a foldable iPhone in the second half of the year, and continued strength in Services fueled by new subscription offerings in health and financial wellness. Each scenario addresses a critical growth vector—hardware demand, software and AI leadership, product innovation and recurring revenue—which together could unlock significant valuation expansion if they materialize.
2. Path to 2030: 12% Annualized Growth Backed by Ecosystem and Custom Silicon
Analysts at JP Morgan project roughly 12% annual share-price appreciation through 2030, underpinned by robust hardware cycles—in particular, the rollout of the iPhone Fold and anticipated AR glasses—and continued momentum in home-automation and security products. Apple’s shift to its own M-series and A-series chips has lifted gross margins by more than 200 basis points over the past three years. Services revenue, which reached $109.2 billion last fiscal year, is on track to sustain a double-digit compound annual growth rate as the installed user base expands into new geographic and vertical markets.
3. Leadership and Strategic Partnerships Shape Near-Term Outlook
Speculation around CEO succession has intensified following the retirement of long-time chief operating officer Jeff Williams and the planned departures of two senior vice presidents in government affairs and general counsel. At the same time, JPMorgan’s recent win of the co-brand credit-card processing business signals ongoing strength in Apple’s financial services ecosystem. Supply-chain resilience was highlighted by record Q4 production volumes at Foxconn’s main iPhone factories, a factor that helped prevent component shortages and supported the holiday-quarter ramp despite industry-wide memory constraints.
4. Analyst Consensus Remains Cautiously Optimistic
Based on 32 analyst ratings tracked by TipRanks, Apple holds a 'Moderate Buy' consensus: 19 recommend buy, 11 recommend hold and 2 recommend sell. The average 12-month target implies about 15% upside, with individual targets ranging from a low implying flat performance to a high that suggests more than 30% gains. Evercore ISI recently raised its revenue forecast for the December quarter to $140.5 billion and lifted its earnings estimate to $2.71 per share, citing stronger iPhone demand in North America, China and India. BofA Securities reaffirmed its buy rating, noting resilient App Store revenue growth of 6.8% year-over-year, while Raymond James remains neutral, pointing to valuation concerns despite solid fundamentals.