Evercore boosts Apple Q4 forecasts to $140.5 billion revenue and $2.71 EPS

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Apple posted record 2025 revenue driven by robust iPhone demand and Services sales of $109.2 billion, sending its market cap above $4 trillion. Analysts hold a ‘Moderate Buy’ consensus with an average 12-month price target implying 15% upside, while Evercore raised Q4 revenue and EPS forecasts to $140.5 billion and $2.71.

1. Record 2025 Revenue Fuels Market Cap Milestone

Apple closed 2025 with an all-time high in annual revenue, driven by robust demand for its flagship smartphone and a services division that generated $109.2 billion in sales. The company’s top line growth propelled its market capitalization past $4 trillion, making it only the second public company to reach that valuation. Despite a modest pullback so far in 2026, the underlying business momentum remains strong, supported by growth in higher-margin software and subscription offerings.

2. Leadership Changes Mark Strategic Realignment

In the past month, Apple has announced a series of high-level departures and retirements. Chief Operating Officer Jeff Williams has retired, while government affairs head Lisa Jackson is stepping down in late January and General Counsel Kate Adams will exit in late 2026. AI chief John Giannandrea is also retiring, with oversight of artificial intelligence transferring to Amar Subramanya. Design vice president Alan Dye has left to join Meta’s Reality Labs. These moves suggest a broader realignment as Apple positions itself for new product cycles and AI integration.

3. Wall Street Analysts Remain Cautiously Optimistic

Based on 32 analyst ratings tracked by TipRanks, Apple holds a “Moderate Buy” consensus: 19 recommend buying, 11 propose holding, and 2 suggest selling. The average 12-month target of $299.49 implies approximately 15% upside from current levels, with individual forecasts ranging from $230 to $350. Evercore ISI reiterated its outperform view on January 6, raising its revenue forecast for the December quarter to $140.5 billion and earnings per share to $2.71 on strong iPhone demand and favorable product mix. BofA Securities reaffirmed its buy rating, highlighting 6.8% year-over-year growth in App Store revenue to $8.6 billion and long-term edge in on-device AI. Raymond James resumed coverage with a hold rating, noting that much of the upside appears priced in and flagging potential risks around component costs and supply chain concentration.

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