Analysts Raise Price Target to $45 on Polaris Forge 1 Service and Lease Wins
Analysts have lifted Applied Digital’s consensus price target from $34.64 a year ago to $45 last month, up from $40.50 in the prior quarter, signaling increased confidence in its digital infrastructure operations. The trend reflects Polaris Forge 1 entering service and a new lease contract boosting 2026 revenue growth forecasts.
1. Analysts Lift Price Targets on Applied Digital
Over the past twelve months, the consensus price target for Applied Digital has climbed from $34.64 to $45.00, representing a 30% increase in average analyst projections. This upward revision reflects growing confidence in the company’s digital infrastructure platform, driven by successful deployments of its Polaris Forge 1 campus and accelerating demand from hyperscale cloud customers. Analysts now forecast Applied Digital’s enterprise value will surpass $8.5 billion by the end of 2026 as occupancy rates rise and long-term lease contracts commence revenue recognition.
2. Revenue Growth Forecast for Fiscal 2026
Industry research firms project Applied Digital’s revenue to reach $297 million in its fiscal 2026 year, marking a 38% year-over-year increase. This outlook is supported by the commencement of lease payments under $16 billion of signed, multi-year agreements and the full operational status of Polaris Forge 1. The company has secured contracts covering more than 700 MW of capacity under development, which are expected to come online through 2027. Investors are closely watching the upcoming Q2 results, where management will provide clarity on lease commencement timing and gross margin expansion.
3. Institutional Positioning and Recent Share Sales
In the third quarter, a prominent hedge fund trimmed its stake by 812,377 shares, reducing its holding to just over 21 million shares, equivalent to a 5.7% weighting in its equity portfolio. The sale realized roughly $483 million in notional value as of the end of September. Despite this reduction, Applied Digital remains the fund’s largest disclosed position, underscoring institutional belief in the company’s long-term growth trajectory. The move is viewed by market strategists as profit-taking following a 220% stock rally over the past year, rather than a shift in sentiment toward the digital infrastructure sector.