ARMOUR Residential REIT Buys Back Shares, Sees Mid-High Teens ROE and 20bp Spread Tightening

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ARMOUR Residential REIT bought back shares when MBS prices dipped and posted a fourth consecutive quarter of asset and capital base growth in its 100% agency MBS, CMBS and Treasury portfolio. Management sees mid-to-high teens ROE on new agency purchases with eight-times leverage; expects up to 20 bps of spread tightening.

1. Stock Buybacks and Capital Base Expansion

ARMOUR Residential REIT leveraged lower mortgage-backed security prices to repurchase shares, driving a fourth consecutive quarter of asset and capital base growth. This strategic capital allocation underscores management’s focus on enhancing shareholder value.

2. Portfolio Composition and Leverage

The company maintains a portfolio comprised entirely of agency MBS, agency CMBS and US Treasuries, ensuring high-quality fixed income exposure. Current leverage for new agency purchases stands at eight times, with risk management hedging to half duration.

3. ROE and Spread Outlook

Management expects mid-to-high teens return on equity for new agency purchases under the current leverage and hedging structure. Spreads remain attractive, with potential tightening of up to 20 basis points over the medium term.

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