AT&T Beats Q4 Estimates with 421K Subscriber Adds and $18B+ FCF Outlook

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AT&T beat Q4 estimates with $0.52 adjusted EPS on $33.5B revenue and added 421k postpaid phones, 283k fiber and 221k 5G fixed wireless subscribers. It projects 2026 free cash flow above $18B, plans $8B of buybacks this year and $45B through 2028, underpinned by Lumen fiber and EchoStar spectrum deals.

1. Rating Upgrade Reflects Strong Financial Performance

Analysts raised their recommendation on AT&T to a buy following the company’s fourth-quarter results, which delivered adjusted earnings per share of $0.52, well above the consensus of $0.46. Revenue climbed 3.7% year-over-year to $33.5 billion, topping expectations by over $600 million. Despite softer trends in mobility and legacy wireline subscribers, AT&T’s operating income of $5.8 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $11.2 billion underscored the company’s ability to exceed guidance in key profitability metrics, driving the valuation upgrade.

2. Continued Subscriber Momentum in Wireless and Fiber

AT&T added 421,000 net postpaid phone customers during the quarter, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of million-plus annual postpaid phone net additions. The company also reported 283,000 new fiber broadband subscribers and 221,000 5G fixed-wireless customer additions, representing over half a million advanced home internet net additions for the second straight quarter. Consumer wireline fiber revenues grew 13.6% year-over-year to $2.2 billion, illustrating robust demand for converged connectivity bundles.

3. Aggressive Capital Allocation and Long-Term Guidance

Management reaffirmed its commitment to reduce leverage and enhance shareholder value by targeting free cash flow of at least $18 billion in 2026, rising to $21 billion by 2028. The company plans to deploy over $45 billion for dividends and share repurchases from 2026 through 2028, on top of the $12 billion returned in 2025. Capital expenditures are forecast in the $23 billion–$24 billion range annually, funding network expansion and the close of Lumen’s consumer fiber operations and EchoStar’s spectrum purchases, which are expected to strengthen AT&T’s advanced connectivity platform.

Sources

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