Baird Upgrades Wells Fargo to Neutral, Keeps $85 Target After 5.6% Q4 Gain

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Baird upgraded Wells Fargo to Neutral from Underperform, kept its $85 target unchanged after an 8.2% YTD selloff improved the risk/reward profile. Q4 net income rose 5.6% to $5.4 billion and EPS climbed 13.3% to $1.62, loans up 8% to $986.2 billion; management foresees 5.2% net interest income growth to $50 billion.

1. Rating Upgrade and Target Price

Baird upgraded Wells Fargo to Neutral from Underperform, maintaining an $85 target price after an 8.2% year-to-date stock decline that enhanced the risk/reward profile.

2. Q4 2025 Financial Results

Wells Fargo reported Q4 net income of $5.4 billion, up 5.6% year-over-year, with EPS rising 13.3% to $1.62 and return on average equity improving 52 basis points to 12.3%.

3. Balance Sheet Trends

The bank’s loan balances expanded 8% to $986.2 billion, driven by a 12% gain in commercial loans, while deposits grew 4% to $1,426.2 billion; net interest margin contracted 10 basis points to 2.60%.

4. 2026 Guidance

Management projects net interest income of $50 billion for 2026, up 5.2%, supported by mid-single-digit loan and deposit growth and anticipating two to three Federal Reserve rate cuts.

Sources

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