Barclays Sees Biggest Consumer Spending Decline Since 2021, Shares Dip After Trump Rate Cap Proposal
Barclays card data show UK consumer spending in December plunged by the largest margin since late 2021, signaling weaker transaction and fee income for the bank. Its shares slid after U.S. President Trump urged a 10% cap on credit card interest rates, threatening Barclays’ interest-margin profitability.
1. Barclays Reports Steepest December Spending Slump Since 2021
Barclays’ internal debit and credit card data showed a 6.2% year-on-year decline in UK consumer spending for December, the largest drop since February 2021. Total transaction value fell to £18.4 billion, down from £19.6 billion in the same month last year, while transaction volumes slid by 3.8%. Spending on discretionary categories such as travel, restaurants and entertainment was particularly weak, with travel bookings down 12% and dining out dropping 9%. Barclaycard analysts attributed much of the pullback to rising utility bills and mortgage repayments, which together absorbed an estimated £1.5 billion more in household outgoings compared with December 2022.
2. Barclays Shares Dip After Trump Advocates 10% Credit Card Rate Cap
Shares of Barclays fell 2.3% on Monday, erasing roughly £450 million of market value, after former U.S. President Trump publicly called for a 10% cap on credit card interest rates. The call was made during a Friday interview and put focus on Barclays’ Barclaycard division, which currently charges average annual percentage rates of around 18%. Investors flagged that a regulatory cap could compress net interest margins by as much as 120 basis points, potentially reducing annual profit before tax by more than £300 million. Barclays executives have said they are monitoring U.S. political developments closely but have not adjusted guidance for Barclaycard earnings to date.