Broadcom Shares Plunge 5% on China Ban of VMware Security Software

AVGOPAVGOP

Chinese authorities directed domestic firms to cease using cybersecurity software from about a dozen U.S. and Israeli vendors, including Broadcom-owned VMware. Broadcom shares tumbled roughly 5%, as the directive exacerbates existing margin compression concerns.

1. Wells Fargo Upgrade Spurs Options Activity

Analysts at Wells Fargo raised their rating on AVGOP to Overweight, citing renewed momentum in artificial intelligence spending among the company’s largest hyperscale customers. The upgrade prompted a surge in bullish options volume, with call open interest across strike prices expanding by 35% in the two trading sessions following the announcement. Market participants initiated more than 12,000 new call contracts in the front two months of the options chain, reflecting growing conviction in further upside potential.

2. Strong Q4 Results Fuel Bullish Sentiment

In its latest quarterly report, AVGOP delivered AI semiconductor sales growth of 74%, driving total revenue up 28% year-over-year and lifting operating income by 62%. Management highlighted an expansion in gross margin to 68%, the highest level in three years, as efficiency gains in chip fabrication and favorable product mix offset rising R&D investment. Investors reacted positively to the earnings beat, viewing the margin improvement as evidence of sustainable profitability in an increasingly competitive market.

3. Q1 Guidance Projects Continued Growth

The company provided first-quarter guidance calling for 28% year-over-year revenue growth, with sales expected to reach $19.1 billion. AVGOP management anticipates a doubling of AI-accelerator sales in the quarter, driven by new design wins at major cloud service providers. EBITDA margins are projected at 67%, a one-percentage-point improvement from the prior quarter, underpinned by favorable leverage on fixed costs and ongoing cost controls in supply chain logistics.

4. Technical Levels Highlight Support and Resistance

Chart analysts point to key technical thresholds where bullish momentum may accelerate or stall. Short-term support is identified at the 20-day moving average, which has held in four of the past five pullbacks, while resistance sits near the upper Bollinger Band, a level that capped rallies twice this month. Option-implied volatility has contracted by 12% since the upgrade, suggesting that traders are entering positions at relatively low premium levels ahead of upcoming earnings and product announcements.

Sources

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