BYD Surges 28% to 2.26M EVs, Overtaking Tesla After 9% Sales Drop

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Tesla delivered 1.64 million fully electric vehicles in 2025, a 9% decline year-over-year, while BYD surged 28% to 2.26 million units, overtaking Tesla as the top global EV seller. Tesla’s second consecutive year of falling sales reflects heightened competition from Chinese automakers and reduced U.S. EV tax credits.

1. Tesla Loses EV Crown to BYD

After more than a decade as the undisputed electric-vehicle leader, Tesla has been overtaken by China’s BYD in annual global EV sales. In 2025 Tesla delivered 1.64 million fully electric vehicles, a 9% decline from 1.79 million in 2024, while BYD surged 28% to 2.26 million units. BYD’s growth was driven by aggressive expansion into European and other overseas markets, particularly with lower-priced models that capitalized on waning U.S. federal tax credits. Tesla’s refreshed Model Y variants have not regained its sales momentum in the face of intensifying competition and tightening incentives.

2. Institutional and Insider Movements

Greenbush Financial Group increased its stake in Tesla by 9.5% in the third quarter, purchasing 1,160 additional shares and raising its total to 13,348 shares, now accounting for 2.3% of its portfolio and ranking Tesla as its 16th largest holding. That position was valued at approximately $5.94 million as of the latest SEC filing. Meanwhile, Director Kimbal Musk sold 56,820 shares for proceeds exceeding $25 million, reducing his holdings by 3.9%, and CFO Vaibhav Taneja sold 2,637 shares for roughly $1.17 million, a 16.1% reduction. Institutional ownership remains high, with hedge funds controlling roughly two-thirds of shares.

3. Delivery Decline and Analyst Outlook

Tesla’s fourth-quarter vehicle deliveries fell 16% year-over-year to 418,227 units, below consensus estimates of 426,000, while production totaled 434,358 vehicles. Full-year deliveries dropped 8.6% to 1.64 million, marking the second consecutive annual decline. Wall Street’s 32-analyst consensus rating on Tesla stands at “Hold,” with an average 12-month price target implying downside of just over 10%. Ratings include 13 buys, 10 holds and nine sells. Key bullish drivers cited are energy storage deployments—up 46.7 gigawatt-hours in Q4—and progressing autonomy and AI initiatives, though valuation and execution risks remain under scrutiny.

Sources

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