Comcast Q4 EPS Beats on Theme Parks, Peacock Growth Despite Broadband Losses

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Scotiabank maintained a Neutral rating and set a $35.25 price target for Comcast, implying 19.9% upside, following Q4 results that beat EPS and revenue estimates. The beat was led by Theme Parks and Peacock streaming, offset by widening broadband losses and weaker NBCUniversal Studios results that pressured margins.

1. Q4 Earnings Driven by Theme Parks and Streaming

Comcast reported fourth-quarter results that exceeded consensus expectations, propelled by a 12% year-over-year increase in Theme Parks revenue and a 25% surge in Peacock subscriptions reaching 33.2 million paid accounts. Although Cable Communications segment revenue declined by 3% due to broadband subscriber losses, overall consolidated revenues grew by 5% to $32.1 billion. Adjusted EPS came in at $0.90, beating the $0.85 consensus estimate, while free cash flow reached $5.8 billion, reflecting robust cash generation in non-broadband operations.

2. Broadband Sector Challenges Impact Investor Sentiment

The company added only 50,000 net broadband subscribers in the quarter, marking the third consecutive quarter of slowed growth and deepening losses in its core cable business. Broadband ARPU fell by 1.2% to $54.10 as promotional offers and intensified competition pressured pricing. Annual churn ticked up to 1.12% from 0.98% a year earlier, underscoring the struggle to retain customers. These trends have weighed on margin performance, with Cable Communications segment EBITDA declining by 4% year-over-year to $10.6 billion.

3. Analyst Ratings and Valuation Upside

Scotiabank analyst Maher Yaghi maintained a Neutral rating and set a price target of $35.25, implying a potential upside of 19.9% from current levels. This follows a 52-week trading range between $24.13 and $35.60, reflecting heightened volatility in the telecommunications sector. With a market capitalization of approximately $106.9 billion and daily trading volumes exceeding 20 million shares, investor interest remains high. Yaghi cites the need for sustained broadband turnaround and margin stabilization as key catalysts for valuation re-rating.

Sources

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